Prediction Accuracy Dashboard

Predictions Made

8449

8418 resolved

Correct Predictions

5350

of 8418 resolved

Accuracy

63.6%

Prediction History

Date	Fight	Prediction	Confidence	Reasoning	Actual Winner	Result
-	Claudio Ribeiro vs Abdul Razak Alhassan	Abdul Razak Alhassan	55.37%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (55.4%).	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Correct
-	Leandro Issa vs Russell Doane	Leandro Issa	50.78%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (50.8%).	Russell Doane	Incorrect
-	Tim Sylvia vs Andrei Arlovski	Tim Sylvia	75.91%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (75.9%).	Andrei Arlovski	Incorrect
-	Terry Etim vs Sam Stout	Sam Stout	50.81%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.8%).	Terry Etim	Incorrect
-	Thiago Alves vs Jon Fitch	Jon Fitch	50.29%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.3%).	Jon Fitch	Correct
-	Jon Jones vs Quinton Jackson	Jon Jones	94.75%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (94.8%).	Jon Jones	Correct
-	Natalia Silva vs Jessica Andrade	Jessica Andrade	68.22%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (68.2%).	Natalia Silva	Incorrect
-	Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado	Jose Delgado	76.95%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (77.0%).	Nathaniel Wood	Incorrect
-	Kyler Phillips vs Song Yadong	Song Yadong	57.48%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (57.5%).	Kyler Phillips	Incorrect
-	Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj	Benardo Sopaj	78.54%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (78.5%).	Benardo Sopaj	Correct
-	Chris Camozzi vs Bruno Santos	Chris Camozzi	85.87%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (85.9%).	Bruno Santos	Incorrect
-	Toshiomi Kazama vs Elijah Smith	Elijah Smith	93.42%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (93.4%).	Elijah Smith	Correct
-	Scott Jorgensen vs Manvel Gamburyan	Scott Jorgensen	63.07%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.1%).	Manvel Gamburyan	Incorrect
-	Igor Pokrajac vs Ryan Jimmo	Ryan Jimmo	64.55%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (64.5%).	Ryan Jimmo	Correct
-	Charles Rosa vs TJ Brown	Charles Rosa	50.38%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (50.4%).	TJ Brown	Incorrect
-	Josh Ferguson vs Chris Cariaso	Chris Cariaso	98.55%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (98.5%).	Chris Cariaso	Correct
-	Vinicius Queiroz vs Rob Broughton	Rob Broughton	72.72%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (72.7%).	Rob Broughton	Correct
-	Mike de la Torre vs Yui Chul Nam	Mike de la Torre	63.57%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.6%).	Mike de la Torre	Correct
-	Chris Lytle vs Joe Riggs	Joe Riggs	52.36%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (52.4%).	Joe Riggs	Correct
-	Frank Mir vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira	Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira	61.17%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (61.2%).	Frank Mir	Incorrect
-	Tom DeBlass vs Riki Fukuda	Riki Fukuda	96.93%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (96.9%).	Riki Fukuda	Correct
-	Charles Johnson vs Rafael Estevam	Charles Johnson	70.43%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (70.4%).	Rafael Estevam	Incorrect
-	Saimon Oliveira vs Daniel Marcos	Daniel Marcos	76.90%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (76.9%).	Daniel Marcos	Correct
-	Duane Ludwig vs Josh Neer	Josh Neer	67.62%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (67.6%).	Josh Neer	Correct
-	James Vick vs Jake Matthews	Jake Matthews	78.04%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (78.0%).	James Vick	Incorrect
-	Cung Le vs Rich Franklin	Cung Le	54.00%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (54.0%).	Cung Le	Correct
-	Joseph Benavidez vs Sergio Pettis	Sergio Pettis	57.29%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (57.3%).	Sergio Pettis	Correct
-	Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan	Chris Duncan	78.36%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (78.4%).	Chris Duncan	Correct
-	Jamie Varner vs Abel Trujillo	Jamie Varner	63.02%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.0%).	Abel Trujillo	Incorrect
-	Julian Erosa vs Charles Jourdain	Julian Erosa	67.53%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (67.5%).	Julian Erosa	Correct
-	Ryan Spann vs Luis Henrique	Luis Henrique	54.44%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (54.4%).	Ryan Spann	Incorrect
-	Tom Lawlor vs Joe Doerksen	Tom Lawlor	78.57%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (78.6%).	Joe Doerksen	Incorrect
-	Georges St-Pierre vs Carlos Condit	Georges St-Pierre	85.50%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (85.5%).	Georges St-Pierre	Correct
-	Mackenzie Dern vs Ashley Yoder	Mackenzie Dern	74.55%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (74.5%).	Mackenzie Dern	Correct
-	Clay Harvison vs Seth Baczynski	Clay Harvison	63.45%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.5%).	Seth Baczynski	Incorrect
-	Kyoji Horiguchi vs Louis Gaudinot	Kyoji Horiguchi	82.62%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (82.6%).	Kyoji Horiguchi	Correct
-	Thomas Almeida vs Jonathan Martinez	Jonathan Martinez	61.83%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (61.8%).	Jonathan Martinez	Correct
-	Charlie Ontiveros vs Kevin Holland	Kevin Holland	93.08%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (93.1%).	Kevin Holland	Correct
-	Kevin Borjas vs Ronaldo Rodriguez	Kevin Borjas	53.86%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (53.9%).	Kevin Borjas	Correct
-	Lukasz Brzeski vs Ryan Spann	Ryan Spann	59.92%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (59.9%).	Ryan Spann	Correct
-	Tatsuro Taira vs Jesus Aguilar	Tatsuro Taira	62.82%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (62.8%).	Tatsuro Taira	Correct
-	Mackens Semerzier vs Alex Caceres	Alex Caceres	62.88%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (62.9%).	Mackens Semerzier	Incorrect
-	Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan	Melsik Baghdasaryan	50.16%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.2%).	Josh Culibao	Incorrect
-	Vanessa Demopoulos vs Talita Alencar	Talita Alencar	61.94%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (61.9%).	Talita Alencar	Correct
-	Mackenzie Dern vs Yan Xiaonan	Yan Xiaonan	50.31%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.3%).	Yan Xiaonan	Correct
-	Marcus Jones vs Matt Mitrione	Matt Mitrione	97.10%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (97.1%).	Matt Mitrione	Correct
-	Joachim Christensen vs Bojan Mihajlovic	Joachim Christensen	60.19%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (60.2%).	Joachim Christensen	Correct
-	Jorge Masvidal vs Al Iaquinta	Jorge Masvidal	76.79%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (76.8%).	Al Iaquinta	Incorrect
-	Brendson Ribeiro vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	72.57%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (72.6%).	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	Correct
-	Stefan Struve vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira	Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira	69.83%	Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (69.8%).	Stefan Struve	Incorrect

- Correct

Claudio Ribeiro vs Abdul Razak Alhassan

Prediction:

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Confidence:

55.37%

Actual Winner:

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (55.4%).

- Incorrect

Leandro Issa vs Russell Doane

Prediction:

Leandro Issa

Confidence:

50.78%

Actual Winner:

Russell Doane

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (50.8%).

- Incorrect

Tim Sylvia vs Andrei Arlovski

Prediction:

Tim Sylvia

Confidence:

75.91%

Actual Winner:

Andrei Arlovski

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (75.9%).

- Incorrect

Terry Etim vs Sam Stout

Prediction:

Sam Stout

Confidence:

50.81%

Actual Winner:

Terry Etim

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.8%).

- Correct

Thiago Alves vs Jon Fitch

Prediction:

Jon Fitch

Confidence:

50.29%

Actual Winner:

Jon Fitch

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.3%).

- Correct

Jon Jones vs Quinton Jackson

Prediction:

Jon Jones

Confidence:

94.75%

Actual Winner:

Jon Jones

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (94.8%).

- Incorrect

Natalia Silva vs Jessica Andrade

Prediction:

Jessica Andrade

Confidence:

68.22%

Actual Winner:

Natalia Silva

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (68.2%).

- Incorrect

Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado

Prediction:

Jose Delgado

Confidence:

76.95%

Actual Winner:

Nathaniel Wood

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (77.0%).

- Incorrect

Kyler Phillips vs Song Yadong

Prediction:

Song Yadong

Confidence:

57.48%

Actual Winner:

Kyler Phillips

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (57.5%).

- Correct

Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj

Prediction:

Benardo Sopaj

Confidence:

78.54%

Actual Winner:

Benardo Sopaj

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (78.5%).

- Incorrect

Chris Camozzi vs Bruno Santos

Prediction:

Chris Camozzi

Confidence:

85.87%

Actual Winner:

Bruno Santos

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (85.9%).

- Correct

Toshiomi Kazama vs Elijah Smith

Prediction:

Elijah Smith

Confidence:

93.42%

Actual Winner:

Elijah Smith

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (93.4%).

- Incorrect

Scott Jorgensen vs Manvel Gamburyan

Prediction:

Scott Jorgensen

Confidence:

63.07%

Actual Winner:

Manvel Gamburyan

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.1%).

- Correct

Igor Pokrajac vs Ryan Jimmo

Prediction:

Ryan Jimmo

Confidence:

64.55%

Actual Winner:

Ryan Jimmo

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (64.5%).

- Incorrect

Charles Rosa vs TJ Brown

Prediction:

Charles Rosa

Confidence:

50.38%

Actual Winner:

TJ Brown

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (50.4%).

- Correct

Josh Ferguson vs Chris Cariaso

Prediction:

Chris Cariaso

Confidence:

98.55%

Actual Winner:

Chris Cariaso

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (98.5%).

- Correct

Vinicius Queiroz vs Rob Broughton

Prediction:

Rob Broughton

Confidence:

72.72%

Actual Winner:

Rob Broughton

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (72.7%).

- Correct

Mike de la Torre vs Yui Chul Nam

Prediction:

Mike de la Torre

Confidence:

63.57%

Actual Winner:

Mike de la Torre

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.6%).

- Correct

Chris Lytle vs Joe Riggs

Prediction:

Joe Riggs

Confidence:

52.36%

Actual Winner:

Joe Riggs

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (52.4%).

- Incorrect

Frank Mir vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Prediction:

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Confidence:

61.17%

Actual Winner:

Frank Mir

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (61.2%).

- Correct

Tom DeBlass vs Riki Fukuda

Prediction:

Riki Fukuda

Confidence:

96.93%

Actual Winner:

Riki Fukuda

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (96.9%).

- Incorrect

Charles Johnson vs Rafael Estevam

Prediction:

Charles Johnson

Confidence:

70.43%

Actual Winner:

Rafael Estevam

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (70.4%).

- Correct

Saimon Oliveira vs Daniel Marcos

Prediction:

Daniel Marcos

Confidence:

76.90%

Actual Winner:

Daniel Marcos

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (76.9%).

- Correct

Duane Ludwig vs Josh Neer

Prediction:

Josh Neer

Confidence:

67.62%

Actual Winner:

Josh Neer

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (67.6%).

- Incorrect

James Vick vs Jake Matthews

Prediction:

Jake Matthews

Confidence:

78.04%

Actual Winner:

James Vick

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (78.0%).

- Correct

Cung Le vs Rich Franklin

Prediction:

Cung Le

Confidence:

54.00%

Actual Winner:

Cung Le

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (54.0%).

- Correct

Joseph Benavidez vs Sergio Pettis

Prediction:

Sergio Pettis

Confidence:

57.29%

Actual Winner:

Sergio Pettis

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (57.3%).

- Correct

Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan

Prediction:

Chris Duncan

Confidence:

78.36%

Actual Winner:

Chris Duncan

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (78.4%).

- Incorrect

Jamie Varner vs Abel Trujillo

Prediction:

Jamie Varner

Confidence:

63.02%

Actual Winner:

Abel Trujillo

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.0%).

- Correct

Julian Erosa vs Charles Jourdain

Prediction:

Julian Erosa

Confidence:

67.53%

Actual Winner:

Julian Erosa

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (67.5%).

- Incorrect

Ryan Spann vs Luis Henrique

Prediction:

Luis Henrique

Confidence:

54.44%

Actual Winner:

Ryan Spann

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (54.4%).

- Incorrect

Tom Lawlor vs Joe Doerksen

Prediction:

Tom Lawlor

Confidence:

78.57%

Actual Winner:

Joe Doerksen

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (78.6%).

- Correct

Georges St-Pierre vs Carlos Condit

Prediction:

Georges St-Pierre

Confidence:

85.50%

Actual Winner:

Georges St-Pierre

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (85.5%).

- Correct

Mackenzie Dern vs Ashley Yoder

Prediction:

Mackenzie Dern

Confidence:

74.55%

Actual Winner:

Mackenzie Dern

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (74.5%).

- Incorrect

Clay Harvison vs Seth Baczynski

Prediction:

Clay Harvison

Confidence:

63.45%

Actual Winner:

Seth Baczynski

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (63.5%).

- Correct

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Louis Gaudinot

Prediction:

Kyoji Horiguchi

Confidence:

82.62%

Actual Winner:

Kyoji Horiguchi

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (82.6%).

- Correct

Thomas Almeida vs Jonathan Martinez

Prediction:

Jonathan Martinez

Confidence:

61.83%

Actual Winner:

Jonathan Martinez

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (61.8%).

- Correct

Charlie Ontiveros vs Kevin Holland

Prediction:

Kevin Holland

Confidence:

93.08%

Actual Winner:

Kevin Holland

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (93.1%).

- Correct

Kevin Borjas vs Ronaldo Rodriguez

Prediction:

Kevin Borjas

Confidence:

53.86%

Actual Winner:

Kevin Borjas

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (53.9%).

- Correct

Lukasz Brzeski vs Ryan Spann

Prediction:

Ryan Spann

Confidence:

59.92%

Actual Winner:

Ryan Spann

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (59.9%).

- Correct

Tatsuro Taira vs Jesus Aguilar

Prediction:

Tatsuro Taira

Confidence:

62.82%

Actual Winner:

Tatsuro Taira

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (62.8%).

- Incorrect

Mackens Semerzier vs Alex Caceres

Prediction:

Alex Caceres

Confidence:

62.88%

Actual Winner:

Mackens Semerzier

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (62.9%).

- Incorrect

Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

Prediction:

Melsik Baghdasaryan

Confidence:

50.16%

Actual Winner:

Josh Culibao

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.2%).

- Correct

Vanessa Demopoulos vs Talita Alencar

Prediction:

Talita Alencar

Confidence:

61.94%

Actual Winner:

Talita Alencar

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (61.9%).

- Correct

Mackenzie Dern vs Yan Xiaonan

Prediction:

Yan Xiaonan

Confidence:

50.31%

Actual Winner:

Yan Xiaonan

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (50.3%).

- Correct

Marcus Jones vs Matt Mitrione

Prediction:

Matt Mitrione

Confidence:

97.10%

Actual Winner:

Matt Mitrione

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (97.1%).

- Correct

Joachim Christensen vs Bojan Mihajlovic

Prediction:

Joachim Christensen

Confidence:

60.19%

Actual Winner:

Joachim Christensen

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (60.2%).

- Incorrect

Jorge Masvidal vs Al Iaquinta

Prediction:

Jorge Masvidal

Confidence:

76.79%

Actual Winner:

Al Iaquinta

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 1 (76.8%).

- Correct

Brendson Ribeiro vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Prediction:

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Confidence:

72.57%

Actual Winner:

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (72.6%).

- Incorrect

Stefan Struve vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Prediction:

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Confidence:

69.83%

Actual Winner:

Stefan Struve

Reasoning: Point-in-time model favored fighter 2 (69.8%).